Joe Nathan - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Joe Nathan - Decomposition of Value*

Positional Average (Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500 (1-Year) (9-Year) (Long-Run)

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

Decomposition of eWORL
(Click here for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting Baserunning Pitching Fielding Total
1999-0.3-0.0-1.00.0-1.3
2000-0.20.0-0.60.0-0.7
2001
-
-----
20020.00.00.00.00.0
2003-0.0-0.01.30.01.3
2004-0.00.02.70.02.7
20050.00.02.3-0.02.2
2006-0.0-0.02.8-0.12.7
20070.00.01.9-0.11.9
20080.00.01.9-0.51.3
20090.00.02.0-0.11.9
2010
-
-----
20110.00.0-0.20.0-0.2
20120.00.00.8-0.00.8
20130.00.01.80.11.9
20140.00.0-0.20.1-0.1
20150.00.00.00.00.0
+ 2016
0.00.00.1-0.00.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)-0.5-0.015.7-0.614.6


Positional Replacement
Adjustments eWOPA Value eWORL
19990.2-1.10.8-0.3
20000.3-0.40.70.3
2001
-
----
2002-0.00.00.00.0
2003-0.11.20.82.0
2004-0.12.61.03.6
2005-0.12.10.93.1
2006-0.12.70.83.5
2007-0.11.81.02.8
2008-0.11.20.92.1
2009-0.11.81.02.8
2010
-
----
2011-0.1-0.30.50.2
2012-0.20.60.91.5
2013-0.11.80.92.7
2014-0.2-0.31.10.8
2015-0.00.00.00.0
+ 2016
-0.00.10.10.2
------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)-0.813.811.525.3


Choose Weights for Uber-Statistic in Final Table

pWins vs. eWins

Wins vs. Wins over Average vs. Repl. Level vs. Star

Zero out negative values (y/n): WOPA:    WORL:    WO*:

By Position: C  1B  2B  3B  SS  LF  CF  RF 
DH  PH  PR  P Off.  SP  RP 

Weights for Postseason:   Wins    WOPA    WORL

Normalize seasons to games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)

Uber-Statistic
Games Wins WORL WOPA Key Stat
1999
19
5.70.1
-
0.1
2000
20
5.10.4
-
0.4
2001
-
-
--
-
-
2002
4
0.00.0
0.0
0.0
2003
78
4.71.8
1.0
3.4
2004
73
7.54.6
3.5
9.9
2005
69
6.33.7
2.7
7.8
2006
64
6.24.5
3.7
10.0
2007
68
6.83.7
2.6
7.6
2008
68
5.83.0
2.1
6.1
2009
70
6.73.5
2.6
7.4
2010
-
-
--
-
-
2011
48
2.80.6
0.3
1.0
2012
66
5.52.1
1.2
3.9
2013
67
5.93.4
2.5
7.2
2014
62
6.01.6
0.7
2.6
2015
1
0.00.0
0.0
0.0
+ 2016
10
0.30.1
0.1
0.2
------ ------ ------ ------
Career Totals
787
75.433.2
23.0
67.6

Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.


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