Bernie Neis - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Bernie Neis
- Decomposition of Value
*
Missing player games extrapolated
(Numbers in italics include some games for which Retrosheet is missing play-by-play data.)
Value decomposition with missing games excluded
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1920
BRO
0.6
0.4
0.0
-0.2
0.8
1921
BRO
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.3
1.9
1922
BRO
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
1923
BRO
-0.4
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.4
1924
BRO
0.8
0.2
0.0
-0.5
0.6
1925
BSN
-0.1
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
1926
BSN
0.2
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
0.2
+
1927
0.2
-0.0
0.0
0.3
0.5
CHA
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.0
-0.2
CLE
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.7
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
3.1
0.7
0.0
0.1
3.8
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1920
BRO
-0.4
0.4
0.9
1.3
1921
BRO
-0.2
1.7
0.9
2.6
1922
BRO
-0.1
0.4
0.2
0.6
1923
BRO
-0.6
-1.0
1.5
0.5
1924
BRO
-0.2
0.4
0.8
1.1
1925
BSN
-0.4
-0.6
1.2
0.6
1926
BSN
-0.1
0.1
0.3
0.3
+
1927
-0.1
0.4
0.7
1.1
CHA
-0.2
-0.2
0.3
0.1
CLE
0.6
0.6
0.4
1.0
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-2.0
1.9
6.4
8.3
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1920
BRO
95
9.1
0.9
0.2
1.2
1921
BRO
102
9.6
1.5
0.9
2.9
1922
BRO
61
2.7
0.4
0.2
0.7
1923
BRO
126
14.6
0.3
-
0.3
1924
BRO
80
8.0
1.0
0.2
1.4
1925
BSN
106
12.9
1.1
0.2
1.3
1926
BSN
30
2.9
0.2
0.0
0.2
+
1927
77
7.0
1.5
0.9
2.9
CHA
45
2.6
0.3
0.1
0.4
CLE
32
4.4
1.2
0.8
2.5
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
677
66.7
6.9
2.7
10.9
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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