John H. Patterson - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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John H. Patterson
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2002
ARI
-0.2
-0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.4
2003
ARI
-0.1
-0.0
-0.4
0.0
-0.5
2004
MON
-0.6
-0.0
-0.9
0.0
-1.6
2005
WAS
-0.8
-0.1
1.6
0.1
0.7
2006
WAS
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.0
0.3
2007
WAS
-0.3
-0.0
-0.9
0.0
-1.2
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CAREER (reg. season)
-2.0
-0.1
-0.7
0.1
-2.7
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
2002
ARI
0.1
-0.4
0.2
-0.1
2003
ARI
0.1
-0.3
0.4
0.1
2004
MON
0.3
-1.3
0.9
-0.4
2005
WAS
1.2
1.9
1.5
3.4
2006
WAS
0.2
0.5
0.3
0.7
2007
WAS
-0.1
-1.3
0.4
-0.9
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CAREER (reg. season)
1.8
-0.9
3.7
2.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2002
ARI
7
1.7
0.3
0.2
0.6
2003
ARI
16
2.9
0.1
-
0.1
2004
MON
19
6.2
-
-
0.0
2005
WAS
31
12.1
3.7
2.2
7.0
2006
WAS
8
2.1
0.7
0.4
1.4
2007
WAS
7
2.0
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
88
27.0
4.8
2.8
9.0
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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