Brad Penny - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Brad Penny
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2000
FLO
-1.0
-0.0
0.4
-0.1
-0.7
2001
FLO
-0.7
-0.2
0.8
0.0
-0.1
2002
FLO
-0.5
-0.0
0.3
-0.0
-0.3
2003
FLO
-0.8
-0.0
0.8
-0.1
-0.2
+
2004
-1.3
0.0
1.5
-0.0
0.2
FLO
-1.2
0.0
1.8
-0.1
0.6
LAN
-0.1
-0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.4
2005
LAN
-0.7
-0.1
1.1
0.1
0.4
2006
LAN
-0.7
-0.0
2.2
0.1
1.6
2007
LAN
-0.1
-0.2
3.9
0.1
3.7
2008
LAN
-0.3
-0.0
-2.9
0.0
-3.2
+
2009
-0.3
-0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.5
BOS
-0.0
-0.0
-1.1
-0.0
-1.2
SFN
-0.2
-0.0
1.1
-0.1
0.7
2010
SLN
0.2
-0.0
-0.2
0.0
0.0
2011
DET
-0.2
-0.0
-1.8
-0.2
-2.2
2012
SFN
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2013
-
-
-
-
-
-
2014
MIA
-0.0
-0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.4
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CAREER (reg. season)
-6.4
-0.6
5.6
-0.2
-1.7
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2000
FLO
0.9
0.2
1.0
1.2
2001
FLO
1.4
1.3
1.5
2.8
2002
FLO
0.9
0.6
1.1
1.7
2003
FLO
1.2
1.0
1.3
2.3
+
2004
1.3
1.5
1.1
2.6
FLO
1.8
1.8
1.0
2.8
LAN
-0.3
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
2005
LAN
1.0
1.4
1.2
2.6
2006
LAN
1.4
3.0
1.4
4.4
2007
LAN
1.3
5.0
1.4
6.3
2008
LAN
0.6
-2.6
0.9
-1.8
+
2009
0.8
0.3
1.3
1.6
BOS
-0.8
-0.8
1.0
0.2
SFN
1.1
1.1
0.4
1.4
2010
SLN
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.8
2011
DET
0.5
-1.8
1.4
-0.4
2012
SFN
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.0
2013
-
-
-
-
-
2014
MIA
0.1
-0.3
0.2
-0.1
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CAREER (reg. season)
11.6
9.9
14.2
24.2
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2000
FLO
24
7.8
0.9
0.1
1.1
2001
FLO
31
12.6
3.8
2.3
7.2
2002
FLO
24
8.3
1.2
0.3
1.6
2003
FLO
33
12.6
3.1
1.6
5.6
+
2004
24
9.3
2.8
1.8
5.5
FLO
21
8.4
2.8
1.8
5.5
LAN
3
0.9
0.0
-
0.0
2005
LAN
29
10.1
3.1
1.9
5.9
2006
LAN
34
12.3
3.5
2.1
6.7
2007
LAN
33
13.0
5.9
4.6
12.8
2008
LAN
19
5.3
-
-
0.0
+
2009
30
10.3
1.8
1.0
3.4
BOS
24
7.1
0.5
-
0.5
SFN
6
3.3
1.4
1.0
2.9
2010
SLN
9
3.7
0.8
0.4
1.5
2011
DET
31
10.1
-
-
0.0
2012
SFN
22
0.6
0.0
-
0.0
2013
-
-
-
-
-
-
2014
MIA
8
1.1
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
351
116.9
27.0
16.2
51.3
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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