John Smoltz - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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John Smoltz
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1988
ATL
0.1
-0.1
-2.1
0.0
-2.1
1989
ATL
0.3
0.0
1.3
-0.1
1.6
1990
ATL
-1.1
-0.0
0.2
-0.1
-1.1
1991
ATL
-1.1
0.1
2.0
-0.0
1.0
1992
ATL
-0.5
-0.0
1.2
0.2
0.8
1993
ATL
-0.4
-0.0
1.1
-0.0
0.6
1994
ATL
-0.3
0.0
-0.7
0.2
-0.8
1995
ATL
-0.7
-0.0
1.6
-0.0
0.9
1996
ATL
-0.1
0.0
6.2
0.1
6.2
1997
ATL
-0.5
-0.1
2.1
-0.1
1.4
1998
ATL
0.1
-0.0
5.2
0.1
5.4
1999
ATL
0.1
0.1
2.2
0.1
2.5
2000
-
-
-
-
-
-
2001
ATL
-0.1
-0.0
1.9
0.0
1.9
2002
ATL
-0.1
-0.0
6.3
-0.0
6.3
2003
ATL
-0.0
0.0
3.2
0.0
3.2
2004
ATL
-0.0
-0.0
4.2
0.1
4.3
2005
ATL
-1.2
-0.0
2.7
0.2
1.6
2006
ATL
-0.9
-0.0
2.5
0.1
1.7
2007
ATL
-1.0
0.1
2.8
0.1
2.0
2008
ATL
-0.3
-0.0
0.8
-0.1
0.4
+
2009
-0.1
0.0
-1.5
0.0
-1.6
BOS
-0.0
-0.0
-1.4
0.0
-1.4
SLN
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.2
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-7.8
-0.0
43.2
0.8
36.1
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1988
ATL
0.4
-1.7
0.6
-1.1
1989
ATL
1.1
2.7
1.5
4.2
1990
ATL
1.5
0.4
1.8
2.2
1991
ATL
1.3
2.3
1.7
4.0
1992
ATL
1.5
2.3
2.0
4.3
1993
ATL
1.4
2.0
1.8
3.8
1994
ATL
0.8
-0.0
1.1
1.1
1995
ATL
1.0
1.9
1.4
3.3
1996
ATL
1.6
7.7
1.8
9.5
1997
ATL
1.6
3.0
1.9
4.9
1998
ATL
1.1
6.4
1.3
7.7
1999
ATL
1.2
3.7
1.5
5.2
2000
-
-
-
-
-
2001
ATL
-0.0
1.9
0.6
2.4
2002
ATL
-0.7
5.6
1.5
7.1
2003
ATL
-0.4
2.8
0.9
3.7
2004
ATL
-0.6
3.7
1.2
4.9
2005
ATL
1.5
3.1
1.6
4.7
2006
ATL
1.6
3.3
1.7
5.1
2007
ATL
1.3
3.2
1.4
4.7
2008
ATL
0.3
0.7
0.3
0.9
+
2009
0.3
-1.3
0.7
-0.5
BOS
-1.3
-1.3
0.4
-0.9
SLN
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.4
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
17.6
53.7
28.1
81.9
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1988
ATL
12
4.4
-
-
0.0
1989
ATL
33
14.3
4.2
2.7
8.3
1990
ATL
38
14.7
2.4
0.7
3.4
1991
ATL
38
16.2
4.8
2.9
9.2
1992
ATL
36
18.9
4.8
2.6
8.7
1993
ATL
35
15.5
3.6
1.8
6.2
1994
ATL
21
12.8
2.1
0.5
2.9
1995
ATL
29
13.8
3.7
2.1
6.9
1996
ATL
35
20.2
10.5
8.6
23.4
1997
ATL
36
17.8
6.1
4.2
12.4
1998
ATL
26
13.7
7.1
5.7
15.7
1999
ATL
29
15.3
6.7
5.0
14.2
2000
-
-
-
-
-
-
2001
ATL
36
4.3
2.1
1.5
4.2
2002
ATL
75
9.7
5.8
4.3
12.2
2003
ATL
62
5.8
3.6
2.7
7.6
2004
ATL
73
7.7
4.0
2.8
8.2
2005
ATL
33
14.5
6.0
4.3
12.5
2006
ATL
35
15.4
5.2
3.5
10.4
2007
ATL
32
13.0
4.9
3.5
10.1
2008
ATL
6
2.4
0.9
0.6
1.9
+
2009
15
5.4
0.8
0.5
1.5
BOS
8
2.6
-
-
0.0
SLN
7
2.7
0.8
0.5
1.5
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
735
255.7
89.4
60.5
180.2
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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