Matt Cain - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Matt Cain
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2005
SFN
-0.2
-0.1
0.8
0.0
0.5
2006
SFN
-1.3
-0.0
1.6
0.1
0.5
2007
SFN
-1.0
-0.0
1.0
0.0
-0.0
2008
SFN
-0.8
-0.0
0.6
0.0
-0.2
2009
SFN
-0.4
-0.4
3.3
0.0
2.5
2010
SFN
-1.0
-0.0
2.6
0.1
1.7
2011
SFN
-0.2
-0.1
3.0
0.2
3.0
2012
SFN
-0.3
-0.2
2.5
0.0
2.0
2013
SFN
-0.9
-0.0
-2.2
0.0
-3.1
2014
SFN
-0.4
-0.0
-1.7
-0.0
-2.2
2015
SFN
-0.3
-0.0
-1.9
-0.0
-2.2
2016
SFN
-0.1
-0.0
-0.8
-0.0
-0.9
2017
SFN
-0.6
0.0
-2.1
0.1
-2.6
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CAREER (reg. season)
-7.4
-0.9
6.5
0.5
-1.2
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2005
SFN
0.3
0.7
0.3
1.0
2006
SFN
1.1
1.5
1.7
3.2
2007
SFN
1.0
1.0
1.6
2.6
2008
SFN
0.9
0.6
1.7
2.4
2009
SFN
1.1
3.6
1.6
5.2
2010
SFN
1.0
2.7
1.7
4.4
2011
SFN
1.0
3.9
1.6
5.5
2012
SFN
1.1
3.0
1.5
4.5
2013
SFN
0.9
-2.2
1.4
-0.8
2014
SFN
0.5
-1.7
0.8
-0.9
2015
SFN
0.3
-1.9
0.5
-1.4
2016
SFN
0.5
-0.5
0.8
0.3
2017
SFN
0.6
-2.1
1.0
-1.0
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CAREER (reg. season)
10.0
8.8
16.1
24.9
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2005
SFN
7
2.5
0.9
0.7
1.9
2006
SFN
32
13.3
3.4
1.7
5.9
2007
SFN
32
12.7
3.6
2.1
6.7
2008
SFN
34
13.5
2.8
1.1
4.4
2009
SFN
33
13.9
4.8
3.2
9.6
2010
SFN
35
16.0
5.1
3.2
9.9
2011
SFN
35
14.1
5.5
4.0
11.4
2012
SFN
35
14.6
3.7
2.2
7.0
2013
SFN
30
9.9
0.5
-
0.5
2014
SFN
15
5.3
0.2
-
0.2
2015
SFN
13
2.8
-
-
0.0
2016
SFN
21
5.6
0.2
-
0.2
2017
SFN
27
6.5
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
349
130.6
30.7
18.0
57.8
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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