Dean Chance - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Dean Chance
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1961
LAA
-0.1
-0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
1962
LAA
-1.1
0.0
2.6
0.0
1.6
1963
LAA
-1.1
0.0
2.2
-0.4
0.8
1964
LAA
-1.3
-0.1
6.3
-0.0
4.9
1965
CAL
-1.1
-0.0
0.8
0.1
-0.2
1966
CAL
-1.5
-0.0
0.5
0.2
-0.9
1967
MIN
-1.5
-0.0
2.2
-0.2
0.4
1968
MIN
-1.6
0.0
3.0
0.1
1.5
1969
MIN
-0.4
0.0
0.2
0.0
-0.2
+
–
1970
-0.9
-0.0
-1.0
-0.3
-2.2
CLE
-0.9
-0.0
-0.9
-0.3
-2.0
NYN
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
1971
DET
-0.6
-0.0
-0.6
-0.0
-1.3
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CAREER (reg. season)
-11.1
-0.1
16.2
-0.4
4.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1961
LAA
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.2
1962
LAA
1.0
2.6
1.9
4.5
1963
LAA
1.6
2.3
2.1
4.4
1964
LAA
2.4
7.3
2.1
9.4
1965
CAL
1.2
1.0
1.8
2.8
1966
CAL
0.9
0.0
2.1
2.1
1967
MIN
1.5
2.0
2.2
4.1
1968
MIN
1.7
3.3
2.0
5.3
1969
MIN
0.4
0.2
0.6
0.8
+
–
1970
0.3
-1.9
1.3
-0.5
CLE
-1.7
-1.7
1.3
-0.4
NYN
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
1971
DET
0.2
-1.0
0.7
-0.3
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------
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CAREER (reg. season)
11.3
15.8
16.8
32.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1961
LAA
5
1.2
0.1
0.0
0.1
1962
LAA
50
14.0
3.6
1.7
6.3
1963
LAA
45
16.3
3.0
1.2
4.8
1964
LAA
46
19.1
10.2
8.1
22.4
1965
CAL
36
14.6
3.6
1.9
6.4
1966
CAL
41
15.7
1.5
0.0
1.5
1967
MIN
41
17.9
4.3
2.2
7.5
1968
MIN
43
17.2
3.9
1.9
6.8
1969
MIN
20
4.6
0.8
0.2
1.1
+
–
1970
48
9.1
0.3
-
0.3
CLE
45
9.0
0.3
-
0.3
NYN
3
0.1
-
-
0.0
1971
DET
31
4.7
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
406
134.4
31.4
17.2
57.3
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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