Dan Driessen - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Dan Driessen
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1973
CIN
2.1
0.2
0.0
0.3
2.6
1974
CIN
0.6
0.2
0.0
-0.9
-0.1
1975
CIN
2.0
0.1
0.0
-0.3
1.8
1976
CIN
2.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
2.9
1977
CIN
2.2
-0.3
0.0
-0.1
1.9
1978
CIN
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.1
1.8
1979
CIN
1.2
0.1
0.0
0.1
1.4
1980
CIN
2.6
0.3
0.0
0.5
3.4
1981
CIN
0.8
0.1
0.0
-0.1
0.7
1982
CIN
-1.0
-0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.7
1983
CIN
0.8
-0.4
0.0
0.2
0.7
+
1984
2.1
-0.3
0.0
0.3
2.1
CIN
0.2
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
0.0
MON
1.9
-0.2
0.0
0.4
2.1
+
1985
-0.6
0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.3
MON
-0.3
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.0
SFN
-0.3
0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
+
1986
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
HOU
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.3
SFN
-0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
1987
SLN
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
------
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
16.6
0.9
0.0
1.3
18.8
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1973
CIN
-0.2
2.4
1.1
3.5
1974
CIN
-0.2
-0.3
1.3
1.0
1975
CIN
-0.3
1.5
0.7
2.2
1976
CIN
-0.3
2.7
0.8
3.4
1977
CIN
-1.0
0.9
1.5
2.3
1978
CIN
-1.0
0.8
1.4
2.3
1979
CIN
-0.9
0.5
1.4
1.9
1980
CIN
-0.9
2.6
1.5
4.0
1981
CIN
-0.3
0.4
0.7
1.0
1982
CIN
-1.0
-1.7
1.3
-0.3
1983
CIN
-0.7
-0.1
1.1
1.1
+
1984
-0.7
1.4
1.1
2.5
CIN
-0.4
-0.4
0.6
0.2
MON
1.8
1.8
0.5
2.3
+
1985
-1.0
-1.2
1.2
-0.0
MON
-0.7
-0.7
0.8
0.1
SFN
-0.6
-0.6
0.4
-0.1
+
1986
-0.0
0.1
0.1
0.2
HOU
0.3
0.3
0.0
0.3
SFN
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
1987
SLN
-0.1
0.2
0.2
0.4
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-8.6
10.3
15.3
25.6
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1973
CIN
102
12.5
2.4
1.2
4.2
1974
CIN
150
13.6
1.4
0.2
1.7
1975
CIN
88
7.2
1.6
0.9
2.9
1976
CIN
98
9.1
2.8
2.0
5.9
1977
CIN
151
15.8
2.2
0.7
3.2
1978
CIN
153
15.9
1.9
0.4
2.5
1979
CIN
150
15.5
1.7
0.3
2.1
1980
CIN
154
16.5
3.1
1.7
5.7
1981
CIN
82
10.4
1.3
0.4
1.9
1982
CIN
149
14.7
1.4
0.7
2.4
1983
CIN
122
12.6
1.8
0.7
2.8
+
1984
131
12.6
2.6
1.7
5.2
CIN
80
6.1
0.8
0.4
1.3
MON
51
6.5
1.9
1.3
3.9
+
1985
144
12.7
0.1
-
0.1
MON
91
8.4
0.1
-
0.1
SFN
53
4.3
-
-
0.0
+
1986
31
1.0
0.4
0.3
0.8
HOU
17
0.6
0.3
0.3
0.7
SFN
14
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.1
1987
SLN
24
2.5
0.2
0.1
0.4
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Career Totals
1,729
172.7
24.7
11.3
41.7
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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