Zach Duke - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Zach Duke
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2005
PIT
-0.3
-0.1
2.6
0.1
2.3
2006
PIT
-0.6
-0.0
-0.8
0.0
-1.4
2007
PIT
-0.2
-0.1
-2.3
-0.2
-2.8
2008
PIT
-0.9
0.0
-1.2
-0.1
-2.1
2009
PIT
-0.6
-0.4
-1.4
-0.1
-2.5
2010
PIT
-0.9
-0.0
-3.4
-0.0
-4.3
2011
ARI
0.2
-0.0
-0.6
-0.0
-0.4
2012
WAS
-0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
+
2013
0.0
-0.0
-0.5
0.0
-0.5
CIN
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
WAS
0.0
-0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
2014
MIL
-0.0
-0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
2015
CHA
0.0
0.0
1.0
-0.1
0.9
+
2016
0.0
0.0
0.7
-0.1
0.7
CHA
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
SLN
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.1
0.2
2017
SLN
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
+
2018
-0.0
-0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.3
MIN
-0.0
-0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.2
SEA
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
2019
CIN
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.2
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-3.3
-0.5
-5.1
-0.5
-9.5
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2005
PIT
0.6
2.9
0.6
3.5
2006
PIT
1.4
-0.0
1.5
1.5
2007
PIT
0.5
-2.3
0.8
-1.5
2008
PIT
1.2
-0.9
1.3
0.4
2009
PIT
1.6
-0.9
1.5
0.6
2010
PIT
1.1
-3.2
1.4
-1.8
2011
ARI
0.3
-0.1
0.4
0.3
2012
WAS
-0.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
+
2013
-0.0
-0.5
0.3
-0.2
CIN
-0.2
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
WAS
-0.3
-0.3
0.2
-0.1
2014
MIL
-0.2
0.4
0.5
0.9
2015
CHA
-0.3
0.6
0.8
1.4
+
2016
-0.3
0.4
0.7
1.1
CHA
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.8
SLN
0.1
0.1
0.3
0.3
2017
SLN
-0.1
-0.2
0.2
-0.0
+
2018
-0.2
0.0
0.6
0.6
MIN
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.5
SEA
-0.0
-0.0
0.1
0.1
2019
CIN
-0.1
-0.3
0.2
-0.1
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------
CAREER (reg. season)
5.6
-3.9
10.9
7.0
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2005
PIT
14
6.2
3.4
2.7
7.4
2006
PIT
34
12.6
2.3
0.7
3.4
2007
PIT
21
5.4
-
-
0.0
2008
PIT
32
10.5
1.0
0.2
1.3
2009
PIT
33
12.5
1.6
0.6
2.5
2010
PIT
32
9.7
-
-
0.0
2011
ARI
21
3.1
0.4
0.1
0.5
2012
WAS
8
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.3
+
2013
26
1.3
0.1
0.0
0.1
CIN
14
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.1
WAS
12
0.8
-
-
0.0
2014
MIL
74
2.6
0.9
0.4
1.6
2015
CHA
71
4.1
0.9
0.3
1.3
+
2016
81
3.8
1.4
0.7
2.5
CHA
53
2.4
1.0
0.5
1.7
SLN
28
1.4
0.5
0.2
0.7
2017
SLN
27
0.7
0.1
-
0.1
+
2018
72
3.0
0.8
0.2
1.2
MIN
45
2.3
0.7
0.2
1.0
SEA
27
0.7
0.1
-
0.1
2019
CIN
30
0.9
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
576
76.8
13.1
6.1
22.2
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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