Larry Gura - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Larry Gura - Decomposition of Value*

Positional Average (Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500 (1-Year) (9-Year) (Long-Run)

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

Decomposition of eWORL
(Click here for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting Baserunning Pitching Fielding Total
1970-0.2-0.0-0.2-0.0-0.5
1971-0.00.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
1972-0.0-0.0-0.00.0-0.0
1973-0.10.0-0.50.1-0.5
19740.00.00.90.00.9
19750.00.0-0.10.1-0.0
19760.00.00.30.00.3
19770.00.00.60.00.6
19780.00.01.50.41.9
19790.00.0-0.6-0.0-0.6
19800.00.01.00.21.1
19810.00.00.50.10.6
19820.00.0-0.10.30.2
19830.00.0-1.80.2-1.6
19840.00.0-1.70.1-1.6
+ 1985
-0.1-0.0-1.0-0.0-1.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)-0.50.0-1.31.4-0.4


Positional Replacement
Adjustments eWOPA Value eWORL
19700.1-0.40.3-0.1
1971-0.0-0.10.0-0.0
19720.0-0.00.10.0
19730.1-0.50.4-0.1
19740.21.20.41.6
19750.10.01.01.0
19760.00.30.20.5
1977-0.00.60.91.4
19780.52.41.43.7
1979-0.0-0.71.61.0
19800.51.61.63.3
19810.30.91.22.1
19820.30.51.92.3
1983-0.3-1.91.6-0.3
1984-0.2-1.81.2-0.6
+ 1985
-0.1-1.30.3-1.0
------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)1.30.914.014.9


Choose Weights for Uber-Statistic in Final Table

pWins vs. eWins

Wins vs. Wins over Average vs. Repl. Level vs. Star

Zero out negative values (y/n): WOPA:    WORL:    WO*:

By Position: C  1B  2B  3B  SS  LF  CF  RF 
DH  PH  PR  P Off.  SP  RP 

Weights for Postseason:   Wins    WOPA    WORL

Normalize seasons to games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)

Uber-Statistic
Games Wins WORL WOPA Key Stat
1970
20
1.7-
-
0.0
1971
6
0.1-
-
0.0
1972
7
0.40.0
0.0
0.1
1973
22
2.4-
-
0.0
1974
8
3.92.0
1.6
4.3
1975
26
7.61.1
0.1
1.3
1976
20
2.30.7
0.5
1.4
1977
52
6.11.7
0.8
2.8
1978
35
12.34.6
3.1
9.3
1979
39
12.31.5
0.2
1.7
1980
36
14.73.8
2.0
6.8
1981
23
15.03.7
1.9
6.5
1982
37
15.02.9
1.1
4.5
1983
35
11.3-
-
0.0
1984
31
8.00.1
-
0.1
+ 1985
8
1.3-
-
0.0
------ ------ ------ ------
Career Totals
405
114.422.1
11.2
38.9

Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.


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