Michael Lorenzen - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Michael Lorenzen
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2015
CIN
-0.2
-0.0
-2.7
-0.1
-3.0
2016
CIN
0.0
-0.0
0.5
0.1
0.6
2017
CIN
-0.1
-0.0
0.4
-0.1
0.3
2018
CIN
0.2
-0.0
0.3
-0.1
0.4
2019
CIN
-0.3
-0.0
1.1
0.1
0.9
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.3
-0.0
-0.4
-0.1
-0.9
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
2015
CIN
0.3
-2.8
1.1
-1.7
2016
CIN
-0.2
0.4
0.5
1.0
2017
CIN
-0.4
-0.1
1.2
1.0
2018
CIN
0.2
0.6
0.7
1.3
2019
CIN
-0.2
0.8
1.4
2.1
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.2
-1.1
4.8
3.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2015
CIN
33
6.7
-
-
0.0
2016
CIN
36
2.8
1.1
0.5
1.9
2017
CIN
73
5.8
1.4
0.3
1.8
2018
CIN
55
4.3
1.1
0.4
1.6
2019
CIN
104
7.7
2.2
0.9
3.5
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Career Totals
301
27.3
5.7
2.1
8.8
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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