Joe Nathan - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Joe Nathan
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1999
SFN
-0.1
-0.0
-0.8
0.0
-1.0
2000
SFN
-0.4
-0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.5
2001
-
-
-
-
-
-
2002
SFN
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2003
SFN
-0.0
-0.0
0.9
0.0
0.9
2004
MIN
-0.0
0.0
4.5
0.1
4.6
2005
MIN
0.0
0.0
3.5
0.0
3.5
2006
MIN
-0.0
-0.0
4.9
-0.1
4.8
2007
MIN
0.0
0.0
3.8
-0.1
3.7
2008
MIN
0.0
0.0
3.5
-0.4
3.1
2009
MIN
0.0
0.0
3.7
-0.1
3.6
2010
-
-
-
-
-
-
2011
MIN
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.6
2012
TEX
0.0
0.0
1.9
-0.0
1.9
2013
TEX
0.0
0.0
3.3
0.2
3.5
2014
DET
0.0
0.0
1.5
0.0
1.5
2015
DET
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
+
2016
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
CHN
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
SFN
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
------
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.6
-0.0
31.0
-0.3
30.2
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1999
SFN
0.4
-0.5
0.9
0.3
2000
SFN
0.5
-0.0
0.7
0.7
2001
-
-
-
-
-
2002
SFN
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2003
SFN
-0.3
0.6
0.9
1.5
2004
MIN
-0.5
4.0
1.1
5.1
2005
MIN
-0.5
3.0
1.0
4.0
2006
MIN
-0.5
4.3
0.9
5.3
2007
MIN
-0.5
3.2
1.1
4.3
2008
MIN
-0.5
2.6
1.0
3.6
2009
MIN
-0.5
3.1
1.1
4.2
2010
-
-
-
-
-
2011
MIN
-0.2
0.4
0.6
0.9
2012
TEX
-0.5
1.5
1.0
2.5
2013
TEX
-0.5
3.0
1.0
4.0
2014
DET
-0.5
1.1
1.2
2.3
2015
DET
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
+
2016
-0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
CHN
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
SFN
-0.2
-0.2
0.1
-0.2
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-4.1
26.0
12.6
38.6
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1999
SFN
19
5.7
0.2
-
0.2
2000
SFN
20
5.1
0.5
-
0.5
2001
-
-
-
-
-
-
2002
SFN
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2003
SFN
78
4.7
1.7
0.8
2.9
2004
MIN
73
7.5
4.4
3.2
9.2
2005
MIN
69
6.3
3.5
2.4
7.1
2006
MIN
64
6.2
4.3
3.4
9.4
2007
MIN
68
6.8
3.5
2.3
7.0
2008
MIN
68
5.8
2.8
1.8
5.5
2009
MIN
70
6.7
3.4
2.3
6.8
2010
-
-
-
-
-
-
2011
MIN
48
2.8
0.6
0.2
0.8
2012
TEX
66
5.5
1.9
0.9
3.3
2013
TEX
67
5.9
3.2
2.3
6.6
2014
DET
62
6.0
1.5
0.5
2.3
2015
DET
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
+
2016
10
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.2
CHN
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
SFN
7
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.2
------
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------
------
Career Totals
787
75.4
31.5
20.2
61.9
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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