2021 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Andruw Jones
Five facts about Andruw Jones:Basic Player Won-Lost Records | |||||||
Value Decomposition | |||||||
Season | Team | Age | Games | pWins | pLosses | pWORL | pWOPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996 | ATL | 19 | 31 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
1997 | ATL | 20 | 153 | 16.5 | 13.1 | 4.2 | 2.7 |
1998 | ATL | 21 | 159 | 22.3 | 16.8 | 6.9 | 4.9 |
1999 | ATL | 22 | 162 | 25.0 | 19.0 | 7.5 | 5.3 |
2000 | ATL | 23 | 161 | 24.1 | 18.2 | 7.3 | 5.2 |
2001 | ATL | 24 | 161 | 23.3 | 19.5 | 5.3 | 3.2 |
2002 | ATL | 25 | 154 | 21.7 | 17.9 | 5.1 | 3.1 |
2003 | ATL | 26 | 156 | 22.8 | 18.3 | 6.0 | 3.9 |
2004 | ATL | 27 | 154 | 21.9 | 17.8 | 5.5 | 3.5 |
2005 | ATL | 28 | 160 | 24.8 | 18.1 | 8.1 | 6.1 |
2006 | ATL | 29 | 156 | 22.4 | 18.1 | 5.7 | 3.8 |
2007 | ATL | 30 | 154 | 19.4 | 19.1 | 1.5 | -0.3 |
2008 | LAN | 31 | 75 | 4.9 | 7.3 | -2.1 | -2.6 |
2009 | TEX | 32 | 82 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
2010 | CHA | 33 | 107 | 9.9 | 9.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
2011 | NYA | 34 | 76 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
2012 | NYA | 35 | 94 | 6.0 | 6.4 | -0.0 | -0.7 |
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
CAREER (reg. season) | 2,195 | 281.1 | 232.8 | 65.7 | 40.4 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
PostSeason (career) | 76 | 8.2 | 7.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
COMBINED | 2,271 | 289.3 | 240.5 | 66.7 | 40.6 |
Expected Player Won-Lost Records | |||||||
Value Decomposition | |||||||
Season | Team | Age | Games | eWins | eLosses | eWORL | eWOPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996 | ATL | 19 | 31 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0.1 | -0.2 |
1997 | ATL | 20 | 153 | 15.6 | 14.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
1998 | ATL | 21 | 159 | 21.8 | 17.3 | 6.0 | 4.0 |
1999 | ATL | 22 | 162 | 23.9 | 20.1 | 5.3 | 3.1 |
2000 | ATL | 23 | 161 | 23.8 | 18.5 | 6.7 | 4.6 |
2001 | ATL | 24 | 161 | 23.0 | 19.8 | 4.7 | 2.6 |
2002 | ATL | 25 | 154 | 21.7 | 17.9 | 5.2 | 3.2 |
2003 | ATL | 26 | 156 | 21.8 | 19.3 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
2004 | ATL | 27 | 154 | 20.9 | 18.8 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
2005 | ATL | 28 | 160 | 23.5 | 19.3 | 5.6 | 3.6 |
2006 | ATL | 29 | 156 | 22.6 | 18.0 | 6.1 | 4.2 |
2007 | ATL | 30 | 154 | 19.1 | 19.4 | 0.9 | -0.8 |
2008 | LAN | 31 | 75 | 5.3 | 6.9 | -1.2 | -1.8 |
2009 | TEX | 32 | 82 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 0.6 | -0.2 |
2010 | CHA | 33 | 107 | 10.2 | 9.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
2011 | NYA | 34 | 76 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
2012 | NYA | 35 | 94 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 0.5 | -0.1 |
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
CAREER (reg. season) | 2,195 | 274.9 | 238.9 | 53.5 | 28.2 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
PostSeason (career) | 76 | 8.6 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
COMBINED | 2,271 | 283.5 | 246.3 | 55.3 | 29.2 |
Vote PredictionAfter holding fairly steady - and fairly low - in his first two years on the ballot, Jones's vote percentage surged from 7.5% in 2019 (up from 7.3% in 2018) to 19.4% last year. A starting point of 7.3% would seem to suggest that Jones is unlikely to be elected to the Hall of Fame (by the BBWAA). On the other hand, a gain of 12% in one year is a very encouraging sign. If Jones can get four more 12% increases, that would push him over the 75% threshold and counting this year, Jones has seven more years on the ballot to get those four 12% boosts. So, maybe?
Player Won-Lost Records and Andruw JonesI have a lot of trouble knowing quite what to make of Andruw Jones's Hall-of-Fame case. On the one hand, the positives are fairly straightforward: if he wasn't the greatest defensive center fielder in major-league history, he's at least in the conversation and offensively, he was good enough that he hit 434 home runs. But his last elite season was his age-29 season.
Andruw Jones | Andre Dawson | |||||||||
Age | Games | pWins | pLosses | pWOPA | pWORL | Games | pWins | pLosses | pWOPA | pWORL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | 31 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | |||||
20 | 153 | 16.5 | 13.1 | 2.7 | 4.2 | |||||
21 | 159 | 22.3 | 16.8 | 4.9 | 6.9 | 24 | 2.5 | 3.4 | -1.0 | -0.8 |
22 | 162 | 25.0 | 19.0 | 5.3 | 7.5 | 139 | 16.4 | 15.4 | 0.3 | 1.8 |
23 | 161 | 24.1 | 18.2 | 5.2 | 7.3 | 157 | 22.5 | 18.7 | 2.9 | 4.9 |
24 | 161 | 23.3 | 19.5 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 155 | 22.8 | 18.5 | 3.4 | 5.4 |
25 | 154 | 21.7 | 17.9 | 3.1 | 5.1 | 151 | 22.3 | 18.6 | 2.9 | 4.9 |
26 | 156 | 22.8 | 18.3 | 3.9 | 6.0 | 103 | 18.1 | 13.2 | 4.2 | 5.8 |
27 | 154 | 21.9 | 17.8 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 148 | 24.1 | 16.9 | 6.5 | 8.4 |
28 | 160 | 24.8 | 18.1 | 6.1 | 8.1 | 159 | 23.2 | 19.8 | 2.6 | 4.6 |
29 | 156 | 22.4 | 18.1 | 3.8 | 5.7 | 138 | 20.1 | 18.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 |
30 | 154 | 19.4 | 19.1 | -0.3 | 1.5 | 139 | 21.0 | 17.4 | 2.4 | 4.3 |
31 | 75 | 4.9 | 7.3 | -2.6 | -2.1 | 130 | 16.5 | 16.5 | -1.1 | 0.4 |
32 | 82 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 153 | 23.2 | 20.1 | 1.6 | 3.6 |
33 | 107 | 9.9 | 9.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 157 | 22.2 | 18.7 | 2.2 | 4.2 |
34 | 76 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 118 | 15.5 | 12.8 | 1.7 | 3.1 |
35 | 94 | 6.0 | 6.4 | -0.7 | -0.0 | 147 | 20.1 | 20.0 | -1.0 | 0.9 |
36 | 149 | 16.9 | 16.6 | -0.8 | 0.8 | |||||
37 | 143 | 18.3 | 17.5 | -0.4 | 1.4 | |||||
38 | 121 | 11.2 | 11.1 | -0.4 | 1.1 | |||||
39 | 75 | 5.8 | 7.0 | -1.6 | -0.7 | |||||
40 | 79 | 5.9 | 7.5 | -2.1 | -1.4 | |||||
41 | 42 | 1.7 | 1.9 | -0.2 | -0.0 | |||||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ |
CAREER RECORDS | 2,195 | 281.1 | 232.8 | 40.4 | 65.7 | 2,627 | 350.4 | 309.7 | 22.8 | 55.1 |
CAREER RECORDS (common rows) | 2,011 | 261.3 | 216.6 | 37.6 | 61.2 | 2,018 | 290.7 | 248.1 | 28.2 | 54.0 |
2021 Hall of Fame Ballot Series