2021 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Torii Hunter
Five facts about Torii Hunter:Basic Player Won-Lost Records | |||||||
Value Decomposition | |||||||
Season | Team | Age | Games | pWins | pLosses | pWORL | pWOPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1997 | MIN | 21 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | -0.0 |
1998 | MIN | 22 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
1999 | MIN | 23 | 134 | 11.9 | 14.6 | -1.6 | -2.9 |
2000 | MIN | 24 | 99 | 10.9 | 11.8 | 0.1 | -1.0 |
2001 | MIN | 25 | 148 | 20.2 | 19.9 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
2002 | MIN | 26 | 148 | 20.1 | 17.5 | 4.3 | 2.4 |
2003 | MIN | 27 | 154 | 19.9 | 18.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
2004 | MIN | 28 | 138 | 18.6 | 16.9 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
2005 | MIN | 29 | 98 | 13.4 | 12.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
2006 | MIN | 30 | 147 | 19.9 | 18.5 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
2007 | MIN | 31 | 160 | 20.4 | 20.6 | 1.6 | -0.4 |
2008 | ANA | 32 | 146 | 19.2 | 16.9 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
2009 | ANA | 33 | 119 | 16.6 | 14.1 | 3.8 | 2.3 |
2010 | ANA | 34 | 152 | 19.6 | 20.1 | 1.0 | -1.0 |
2011 | ANA | 35 | 156 | 20.2 | 19.4 | 1.9 | -0.1 |
2012 | ANA | 36 | 140 | 19.9 | 15.7 | 5.3 | 3.6 |
2013 | DET | 37 | 144 | 20.5 | 18.3 | 3.2 | 1.3 |
2014 | DET | 38 | 142 | 16.9 | 17.7 | 0.3 | -1.4 |
2015 | MIN | 39 | 139 | 17.1 | 16.5 | 1.6 | -0.1 |
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
CAREER (reg. season) | 2,371 | 305.7 | 289.8 | 39.1 | 9.9 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
PostSeason (career) | 48 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 0.5 | -0.1 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
COMBINED | 2,419 | 311.8 | 296.0 | 39.5 | 9.8 |
Expected Player Won-Lost Records | |||||||
Value Decomposition | |||||||
Season | Team | Age | Games | eWins | eLosses | eWORL | eWOPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1997 | MIN | 21 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | -0.0 |
1998 | MIN | 22 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
1999 | MIN | 23 | 134 | 12.1 | 14.4 | -1.2 | -2.5 |
2000 | MIN | 24 | 99 | 10.8 | 11.8 | -0.0 | -1.1 |
2001 | MIN | 25 | 148 | 20.9 | 19.2 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
2002 | MIN | 26 | 148 | 19.3 | 18.2 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
2003 | MIN | 27 | 154 | 19.3 | 19.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 |
2004 | MIN | 28 | 138 | 18.1 | 17.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
2005 | MIN | 29 | 98 | 13.6 | 12.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
2006 | MIN | 30 | 147 | 19.7 | 18.8 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
2007 | MIN | 31 | 160 | 20.7 | 20.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 |
2008 | ANA | 32 | 146 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 1.5 | -0.2 |
2009 | ANA | 33 | 119 | 16.8 | 13.9 | 4.2 | 2.7 |
2010 | ANA | 34 | 152 | 20.2 | 19.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 |
2011 | ANA | 35 | 156 | 19.9 | 19.7 | 1.3 | -0.7 |
2012 | ANA | 36 | 140 | 18.8 | 16.8 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
2013 | DET | 37 | 144 | 19.5 | 19.3 | 1.2 | -0.7 |
2014 | DET | 38 | 142 | 17.2 | 17.4 | 0.8 | -0.9 |
2015 | MIN | 39 | 139 | 16.2 | 17.3 | -0.1 | -1.8 |
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
CAREER (reg. season) | 2,371 | 301.5 | 294.0 | 30.8 | 1.7 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
PostSeason (career) | 48 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 0.3 | -0.3 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
COMBINED | 2,419 | 307.5 | 300.2 | 31.1 | 1.4 |
Vote PredictionTorii Hunter checks quite a few boxes as a Hall-of-Fame candidate: 5 All-Star teams, 9 Gold Gloves, over 2,400 hits, 350 home runs, almost 1,300 runs scored, almost 1,400 RBI. Hunter was quite good for quite a long time. I don't think most voters think he's quite a Hall-of-Famer, but it's a relatively weak ballot and a very weak freshman class as far as these things go (no disrespect to the 11 first-time players on the ballot), so I suspect that most voters who might be inclined to vote for Hunter would be able to find room for him on their ballot if they really wanted to.
Player Won-Lost Records and Torii HunterBaseball Player won-lost records end up being on approximately the same scale as traditional pitcher wins. Hence, one can approximately judge pWins and eWins by the same traditional measures by which one might judge pitcher wins (if one still cares about pitcher wins): 20 pWins is a very good season total, 300 pWins is a very good career total. One thing that makes the comparison only "approximate" is that pWins aren't distributed evenly across positions. Shifting to comparisons to positional average (WOPA) or replacement level (WORL) mostly solve this problem, but, in terms of raw pWins (and eWins), outfielders tend to earn more pWins (and pLosses) than other positions, not because outfielders are better than other positions but because they accumulate somewhat more fielding wins (and fielding losses) than infielders.
300 pGame Winners, since 1947 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | pWins | pLosses | pWOPA | pWORL | |
1 | Hank Aaron | 496.7 | 369.1 | 98.5 | 142.5 |
2 | Barry Bonds | 466.8 | 310.6 | 136.5 | 174.4 |
3 | Willie Mays | 465.3 | 329.8 | 116.5 | 156.6 |
4 | Pete Rose Sr. | 439.3 | 394.7 | 23.6 | 64.5 |
5 | Carl Yastrzemski | 430.9 | 360.2 | 45.5 | 85.7 |
6 | Rickey Henderson | 428.4 | 350.3 | 62.5 | 100.5 |
7 | Frank Robinson | 398.0 | 302.5 | 70.9 | 106.8 |
8 | Dave Winfield | 397.3 | 339.8 | 38.7 | 75.5 |
9 | Cal Ripken | 382.3 | 351.6 | 49.2 | 84.5 |
10 | Al Kaline | 380.5 | 299.2 | 58.6 | 93.2 |
11 | Alex Rodriguez | 373.8 | 298.7 | 81.2 | 114.9 |
12 | Joe L. Morgan | 371.9 | 293.9 | 84.9 | 117.6 |
13 | Reggie Jackson | 370.0 | 295.8 | 58.4 | 92.6 |
14 | Derek Jeter | 367.7 | 323.1 | 61.2 | 94.8 |
15 | Robin Yount | 366.7 | 345.7 | 31.9 | 66.5 |
16 | Albert Pujols | 359.9 | 267.3 | 71.8 | 104.3 |
17 | Adrian Beltre | 358.5 | 318.3 | 35.3 | 68.5 |
18 | Craig Biggio | 357.7 | 325.7 | 34.0 | 67.3 |
19 | Roberto Clemente | 357.0 | 295.1 | 37.8 | 70.5 |
20 | Nolan Ryan | 354.6 | 329.6 | 38.1 | 81.0 |
21 | Mickey Mantle | 354.1 | 227.5 | 112.2 | 141.9 |
22 | Brooks Robinson | 352.3 | 310.6 | 32.0 | 64.9 |
23 | Andre Dawson | 350.4 | 309.7 | 22.8 | 55.1 |
24 | Lou Brock | 347.6 | 328.7 | -7.4 | 26.1 |
25 | Eddie Murray | 346.7 | 285.5 | 38.6 | 70.7 |
26 | Gary Sheffield | 343.2 | 288.0 | 41.0 | 72.7 |
27 | Warren Spahn | 342.7 | 287.4 | 74.3 | 113.8 |
28 | Ken Griffey Jr. | 342.1 | 297.2 | 38.3 | 69.8 |
29 | Mike Schmidt | 338.5 | 257.6 | 71.0 | 99.7 |
30 | Chipper Jones | 336.2 | 257.6 | 69.6 | 98.6 |
31 | Steve Carlton | 335.6 | 305.9 | 49.2 | 86.9 |
32 | Ozzie Smith | 333.3 | 312.5 | 35.6 | 66.5 |
33 | Billy Williams | 332.4 | 278.2 | 31.2 | 62.1 |
34 | Carlos Beltran | 331.4 | 290.0 | 32.4 | 63.6 |
35 | Dwight Evans | 330.1 | 271.9 | 45.6 | 75.3 |
36 | Luis Aparicio | 329.9 | 328.1 | 17.5 | 50.3 |
37 | Phil Niekro | 329.1 | 322.8 | 25.2 | 64.8 |
38 | George Brett | 327.7 | 275.9 | 44.4 | 74.9 |
39 | Greg Maddux | 327.2 | 271.7 | 77.9 | 115.0 |
40 | Vada Pinson | 325.7 | 297.4 | 9.7 | 40.7 |
41 | Rusty Staub | 325.0 | 306.0 | -1.9 | 30.8 |
42 | Stan Musial | 324.9 | 247.7 | 88.2 | 126.2 |
43 | Eddie Mathews | 320.7 | 240.9 | 70.5 | 99.1 |
44 | Omar Vizquel | 320.2 | 337.6 | -0.3 | 31.6 |
45 | Manny Ramirez | 320.0 | 247.6 | 60.2 | 88.9 |
46 | Tony Gwynn Sr. | 319.4 | 286.1 | 12.4 | 41.5 |
47 | Luis 'Gonzo' Gonzalez | 318.7 | 290.0 | 9.9 | 39.6 |
48 | Don Sutton | 318.6 | 297.3 | 38.4 | 75.6 |
49 | Roger Clemens | 316.9 | 228.6 | 94.6 | 131.3 |
50 | Paul Molitor | 316.7 | 273.4 | 38.3 | 70.6 |
51 | Sammy Sosa | 316.6 | 277.5 | 20.7 | 50.1 |
52 | Dave Parker | 315.6 | 273.4 | 24.1 | 53.9 |
53 | Gaylord Perry | 315.6 | 290.2 | 38.2 | 76.1 |
54 | Tim Raines Sr. | 315.4 | 273.3 | 27.3 | 56.1 |
55 | Ichiro Suzuki | 312.4 | 302.4 | -2.5 | 27.5 |
56 | Roberto Alomar | 312.3 | 283.2 | 36.4 | 65.4 |
57 | Steve Finley | 310.8 | 289.1 | 12.1 | 41.4 |
58 | Ernie Banks | 310.5 | 279.6 | 21.2 | 51.0 |
59 | Graig Nettles | 309.5 | 270.9 | 33.4 | 61.8 |
60 | Bobby Abreu | 309.4 | 264.0 | 29.6 | 57.9 |
61 | Rafael Palmeiro | 309.1 | 267.4 | 20.4 | 49.9 |
62 | Tony Perez | 307.1 | 256.0 | 31.1 | 59.1 |
63 | Tom Seaver | 306.9 | 258.2 | 65.1 | 98.6 |
64 | Willie Davis | 306.7 | 274.7 | 16.1 | 45.0 |
65 | Torii Hunter | 305.7 | 289.8 | 9.9 | 39.1 |
66 | Lou Whitaker | 303.8 | 262.6 | 51.2 | 78.5 |
67 | Darrell Evans | 303.5 | 259.5 | 31.6 | 59.5 |
68 | Jeff Kent | 301.3 | 266.1 | 36.3 | 63.9 |
69 | Harmon Killebrew | 301.1 | 235.0 | 48.5 | 75.7 |
70 | Miguel Cabrera | 300.3 | 243.1 | 43.8 | 70.5 |
2021 Hall of Fame Ballot Series