Dick Allen as Seen Through Player Won-Lost Records
Dick Allen recently passed away. This is an update of an article I originally wrote in 2014 when Dick Allen appeared on the Veterans' Committee ballot.Basic Player Won-Lost Records | |||||||
Value Decomposition | |||||||
Season | Team | Age | Games | pWins | pLosses | pWORL | pWOPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1963 | PHI | 21 | 10 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
1964 | PHI | 22 | 162 | 25.2 | 17.7 | 9.0 | 6.8 |
1965 | PHI | 23 | 161 | 21.6 | 18.6 | 4.3 | 2.3 |
1966 | PHI | 24 | 141 | 23.1 | 16.0 | 8.2 | 6.3 |
1967 | PHI | 25 | 122 | 19.3 | 14.5 | 6.0 | 4.3 |
1968 | PHI | 26 | 152 | 25.4 | 17.8 | 8.5 | 6.3 |
1969 | PHI | 27 | 118 | 14.2 | 11.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
1970 | SLN | 28 | 122 | 15.0 | 12.2 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
1971 | LAN | 29 | 155 | 21.3 | 17.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 |
1972 | CHA | 30 | 148 | 23.3 | 12.1 | 11.5 | 9.7 |
1973 | CHA | 31 | 72 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
1974 | CHA | 32 | 128 | 14.6 | 11.5 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
1975 | PHI | 33 | 119 | 12.1 | 11.7 | 0.2 | -1.0 |
1976 | PHI | 34 | 85 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 0.6 | -0.2 |
1977 | OAK | 35 | 53 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 0.4 | -0.1 |
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
CAREER (reg. season) | 1,748 | 237.7 | 181.4 | 63.8 | 43.1 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
PostSeason (career) | 3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
COMBINED | 1,751 | 237.8 | 181.7 | 63.6 | 42.9 |
Expected Player Won-Lost Records | |||||||
Value Decomposition | |||||||
Season | Team | Age | Games | eWins | eLosses | eWORL | eWOPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1963 | PHI | 21 | 10 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | -0.0 |
1964 | PHI | 22 | 162 | 24.3 | 18.6 | 7.0 | 4.9 |
1965 | PHI | 23 | 161 | 22.2 | 17.9 | 5.6 | 3.6 |
1966 | PHI | 24 | 141 | 22.6 | 16.4 | 7.5 | 5.6 |
1967 | PHI | 25 | 122 | 19.1 | 14.7 | 5.9 | 4.3 |
1968 | PHI | 26 | 152 | 24.0 | 19.2 | 5.8 | 3.7 |
1969 | PHI | 27 | 118 | 15.1 | 10.9 | 4.1 | 2.8 |
1970 | SLN | 28 | 122 | 15.3 | 11.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
1971 | LAN | 29 | 155 | 21.7 | 17.3 | 5.1 | 3.2 |
1972 | CHA | 30 | 148 | 21.9 | 13.5 | 8.9 | 7.2 |
1973 | CHA | 31 | 72 | 8.2 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
1974 | CHA | 32 | 128 | 15.0 | 11.2 | 4.2 | 3.0 |
1975 | PHI | 33 | 119 | 11.8 | 11.9 | -0.3 | -1.5 |
1976 | PHI | 34 | 85 | 8.9 | 7.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
1977 | OAK | 35 | 53 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 0.0 | -0.5 |
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
CAREER (reg. season) | 1,748 | 236.0 | 183.0 | 61.2 | 40.5 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
PostSeason (career) | 3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
COMBINED | 1,751 | 236.2 | 183.3 | 61.2 | 40.4 |
BattingAt the risk of offending sabermetric-savvy readers, Dick Allen's Hall-of-Fame case is similar in nature to that of Jim Rice: at his best, Dick Allen was one of the most feared batters in baseball. Dick Allen played 140 or more games only 6 times in his career. In those seasons, he won an MVP and a Rookie-of-the-Year Award, and finished top 10 in MVP voting three times. Allen qualified for the batting title 10 times and made 7 All-Star games - including one in 1973 when he appeared in only 72 games with 288 (excellent) plate appearances. Allen led his league in OBP twice, SLG twice, and OPS four times.
Top 25 Players, Career Batting Wins over Non-Pitcher Average, since 1961 | |||||
eWins | eLosses | eWinPct | eWOPA | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Barry Bonds | 309.4 | 187.3 | 0.623 | 115.2 |
2 | Mike Schmidt | 239.5 | 165.3 | 0.592 | 68.0 |
3 | Hank Aaron | 235.6 | 162.6 | 0.592 | 67.2 |
4 | Frank E. Thomas | 227.8 | 161.4 | 0.585 | 66.0 |
5 | Manny Ramirez | 231.9 | 165.7 | 0.583 | 65.2 |
6 | Jim Thome | 229.9 | 164.0 | 0.584 | 64.6 |
7 | Alex Rodriguez | 268.1 | 203.9 | 0.568 | 63.2 |
8 | Frank Robinson | 213.4 | 145.6 | 0.595 | 63.0 |
9 | Reggie Jackson | 261.2 | 196.7 | 0.570 | 62.5 |
10 | Willie McCovey | 229.6 | 161.1 | 0.588 | 62.4 |
11 | Albert Pujols | 280.9 | 214.9 | 0.567 | 61.6 |
12 | Mark McGwire | 181.1 | 121.0 | 0.599 | 58.8 |
13 | Harmon Killebrew | 206.2 | 143.2 | 0.590 | 58.1 |
14 | Willie Stargell | 219.5 | 156.3 | 0.584 | 57.2 |
15 | Jeff Bagwell | 214.8 | 153.1 | 0.584 | 56.1 |
16 | Gary Sheffield | 242.7 | 183.2 | 0.570 | 55.0 |
17 | Willie Mays | 181.4 | 122.3 | 0.597 | 54.2 |
18 | Carl Yastrzemski | 292.2 | 233.0 | 0.556 | 54.1 |
19 | Chipper Jones | 241.3 | 181.6 | 0.571 | 53.4 |
20 | Miguel Cabrera | 234.1 | 179.2 | 0.566 | 52.6 |
21 | Dick Allen | 177.6 | 122.7 | 0.591 | 50.8 |
22 | David Ortiz | 230.2 | 178.9 | 0.563 | 50.3 |
23 | Joe L. Morgan | 233.5 | 178.0 | 0.567 | 49.0 |
24 | Rickey Henderson | 259.4 | 209.8 | 0.553 | 48.2 |
25 | Jason Giambi | 197.7 | 149.5 | 0.569 | 47.3 |
Positional Average excludes pitcher offense
Dick Allen was among the top 25 batters of the past 60 years. Note, in particular, that he accomplished this in far fewer decisions than every player above him in the above table except for Mark McGwire and Willie Mays (the table excludes Mays's contributions prior to 1961). Ignoring quantity and focusing on quality, Allen's batting win percentage in one of the highest in the above table.Dick Allen's PrimeAs noted above, Dick Allen only qualified for a batting title 10 times and only played 140 or more games 6 times. Based on that, Dick Allen's Hall-of-Fame case is not a career case: he had fewer than 2,000 hits and 400 home runs in his career (1,848 and 351, respectively). But the 10 years in which Allen qualified for a batting title fell within an 11-year period from 1964 - 1974. During that time period, Dick Allen was one of the best players in Major League Baseball.
Top 25 Players, 1964 - 1974, pWOPA and pWORL
pWins over Positional Average Top 25 Players |
pWins over Replacement Level Top 25 Players |
||||||||||||
Player | pWins | pLosses | pWOPA | pWORL | Player | pWins | pLosses | pWOPA | pWORL | ||||
1 | Bob Gibson | 197.5 | 157.4 | 51.5 | 72.5 | 1 | Bob Gibson | 197.5 | 157.4 | 51.5 | 72.5 | ||
2 | Hank Aaron | 237.2 | 174.9 | 47.2 | 67.7 | 2 | Hank Aaron | 237.2 | 174.9 | 47.2 | 67.7 | ||
3 | Willie McCovey | 183.1 | 123.6 | 45.4 | 60.7 | 3 | Dick Allen | 210.8 | 156.2 | 44.0 | 62.2 | ||
4 | Willie Mays | 187.3 | 135.2 | 44.5 | 60.6 | 4 | Frank Robinson | 217.1 | 162.5 | 41.8 | 61.4 | ||
5 | Dick Allen | 210.8 | 156.2 | 44.0 | 62.2 | 5 | Juan Marichal | 172.3 | 140.5 | 42.5 | 61.1 | ||
6 | Juan Marichal | 172.3 | 140.5 | 42.5 | 61.1 | 6 | Willie McCovey | 183.1 | 123.6 | 45.4 | 60.7 | ||
7 | Frank Robinson | 217.1 | 162.5 | 41.8 | 61.4 | 7 | Willie Mays | 187.3 | 135.2 | 44.5 | 60.6 | ||
8 | Tom Seaver | 146.7 | 114.9 | 40.3 | 55.6 | 8 | Fergie Jenkins | 176.1 | 146.8 | 38.6 | 57.9 | ||
9 | Joe L. Morgan | 193.5 | 157.2 | 40.2 | 57.5 | 9 | Joe L. Morgan | 193.5 | 157.2 | 40.2 | 57.5 | ||
10 | Fergie Jenkins | 176.1 | 146.8 | 38.6 | 57.9 | 10 | Carl Yastrzemski | 239.1 | 188.7 | 35.7 | 56.8 | ||
11 | Harmon Killebrew | 190.6 | 141.9 | 37.1 | 53.7 | 11 | Tom Seaver | 146.7 | 114.9 | 40.3 | 55.6 | ||
12 | Willie Stargell | 214.3 | 164.2 | 36.0 | 54.7 | 12 | Willie Stargell | 214.3 | 164.2 | 36.0 | 54.7 | ||
13 | Carl Yastrzemski | 239.1 | 188.7 | 35.7 | 56.8 | 13 | Harmon Killebrew | 190.6 | 141.9 | 37.1 | 53.7 | ||
14 | Roberto Clemente | 191.3 | 143.8 | 35.7 | 52.3 | 14 | Brooks Robinson | 225.5 | 186.2 | 32.6 | 52.9 | ||
15 | Johnny Bench | 132.2 | 100.9 | 32.7 | 44.3 | 15 | Roberto Clemente | 191.3 | 143.8 | 35.7 | 52.3 | ||
16 | Brooks Robinson | 225.5 | 186.2 | 32.6 | 52.9 | 16 | Gaylord Perry | 195.0 | 175.4 | 29.1 | 52.0 | ||
17 | Jimmy Wynn | 220.8 | 178.0 | 31.5 | 51.2 | 17 | Ron Santo | 225.8 | 187.7 | 31.3 | 51.9 | ||
18 | Ron Santo | 225.8 | 187.7 | 31.3 | 51.9 | 18 | Jimmy Wynn | 220.8 | 178.0 | 31.5 | 51.2 | ||
19 | Jim Palmer | 119.7 | 93.7 | 31.3 | 44.2 | 19 | Billy Williams | 247.2 | 201.2 | 28.4 | 50.6 | ||
20 | Gaylord Perry | 195.0 | 175.4 | 29.1 | 52.0 | 20 | Jim Kaat | 167.1 | 148.7 | 27.2 | 46.2 | ||
21 | Reggie Jackson | 155.9 | 119.2 | 28.6 | 42.3 | 21 | Joe Torre | 193.3 | 159.0 | 28.0 | 45.4 | ||
22 | Al Kaline | 173.1 | 134.4 | 28.6 | 44.3 | 22 | Pete Rose Sr. | 238.1 | 205.3 | 23.3 | 45.2 | ||
23 | Billy Williams | 247.2 | 201.2 | 28.4 | 50.6 | 23 | Al Kaline | 173.1 | 134.4 | 28.6 | 44.3 | ||
24 | Joe Torre | 193.3 | 159.0 | 28.0 | 45.4 | 24 | Johnny Bench | 132.2 | 100.9 | 32.7 | 44.3 | ||
25 | John 'Boog' Powell | 173.9 | 131.8 | 27.6 | 42.8 | 25 | Jim Palmer | 119.7 | 93.7 | 31.3 | 44.2 |
Dick Allen's Place in Philadelphia Phillies HistoryDick Allen spent the majority of his career as a Philadelphia Phillie. The final table in this article shows the top 10 players in Philadelphia Phillies history as measured by career pWins over positional average, pWOPA, amassed as a Phillie.
Player | pWins | pLosses | pWinPct | pWOPA | pWORL | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mike Schmidt | 338.5 | 257.6 | 0.568 | 71.0 | 99.7 |
2 | Steve Carlton | 239.9 | 207.8 | 0.536 | 47.0 | 72.9 |
3 | Robin Roberts | 238.5 | 216.8 | 0.524 | 35.1 | 62.8 |
4 | Chase Utley | 205.1 | 170.4 | 0.546 | 35.3 | 53.3 |
5 | Jimmy Rollins | 271.7 | 253.5 | 0.517 | 25.9 | 51.2 |
6 | Bobby Abreu | 190.4 | 152.6 | 0.555 | 26.7 | 43.5 |
7 | Dick Allen | 150.2 | 116.5 | 0.563 | 26.1 | 39.3 |
8 | Cole Hamels | 123.4 | 110.2 | 0.528 | 22.0 | 36.6 |
9 | Ryan Howard | 182.7 | 149.4 | 0.550 | 18.0 | 34.0 |
10 | Del Ennis | 238.2 | 215.5 | 0.525 | 6.4 | 30.0 |