Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Pedro Martinez

Hall-of-Famers as Seen Through Player Won-Lost Records: Pedro Martinez

Pedro Martinez was elected to the Hall of Fame in his first year of eligibility, 2015, with 91.1% of the vote.

Five highlights of Pedro Martinez's career: The first two tables below present Pedro Martinez's career as measured by Player won-lost records, in and out of context.

Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWORL pWOPA
1992LAN20
2
0.20.4-0.1-0.1
1993LAN21
65
7.35.52.81.7
1994MON22
24
9.68.03.32.2
1995MON23
30
11.511.42.51.0
1996MON24
33
13.113.22.61.0
1997MON25
31
17.812.08.86.9
1998BOS26
33
15.510.76.95.1
1999BOS27
31
16.36.511.510.0
2000BOS28
29
16.47.111.19.5
2001BOS29
18
7.44.04.33.5
2002BOS30
30
14.87.59.27.6
2003BOS31
29
13.77.38.16.6
2004BOS32
33
14.610.95.73.9
2005NYN33
31
13.311.04.93.3
2006NYN34
23
8.49.90.2-0.9
2007NYN35
5
2.31.51.20.9
2008NYN36
20
6.58.0-0.0-0.9
2009PHI37
9
3.82.71.71.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
476
192.4137.884.762.6
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
16
5.14.81.10.5
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
492
197.6142.685.963.1


Expected Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games eWins eLosses eWORL eWOPA
1992LAN20
2
0.30.20.10.1
1993LAN21
65
7.15.82.31.2
1994MON22
24
9.48.13.02.0
1995MON23
30
11.311.62.10.7
1996MON24
33
14.112.24.83.1
1997MON25
31
18.211.69.98.0
1998BOS26
33
14.811.45.63.8
1999BOS27
31
15.67.210.28.6
2000BOS28
29
16.66.911.59.8
2001BOS29
18
7.73.74.84.1
2002BOS30
30
14.18.37.76.2
2003BOS31
29
13.97.18.57.0
2004BOS32
33
14.611.05.43.6
2005NYN33
31
14.010.36.34.8
2006NYN34
23
9.09.31.70.5
2007NYN35
5
2.11.70.80.5
2008NYN36
20
6.08.5-1.0-1.9
2009PHI37
9
2.83.7-0.1-0.6
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
476
191.6138.683.761.5
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
16
5.64.32.21.5
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
492
197.2142.985.963.0


The key driver of Pedro Martinez's Hall-of-Fame case was his exceptional peak, during which time he was not just the best pitcher in baseball, but the best pitcher in baseball by a lot. In 2000, for example, he led the AL in ERA at 1.74. Roger Clemens was second in the AL in ERA that year - at 3.70, more than double Pedro's ERA!

Between 1997 and 2003, Pedro Martinez led his league in ERA five times and in strikeouts three times, winning three Cy Young awards. Shifting to Player won-lost records, Martinez earned 6.7 or more pWins over positional average (pWOPA) five times over those seven seasons.

The next table lists every player who has earned 6.5 pWOPA or more in five or more seasons, across all of the seasons for which I have calculated Player won-lost records.

Player Number of Seasons
(pWOPA >= 6.5)
Barry Bonds13
Babe Ruth12
Mickey Mantle10
Lou Gehrig9
Willie Mays9
Jimmie Foxx7
Mel Ott7
Ted Williams7
Joe DiMaggio6
Stan Musial6
Joe L. Morgan6
Duke Snider5
Roger Clemens5
Pedro J. Martinez5
Juan Marichal5


While Pedro's Hall-of-Fame case is probably more of a peak case, his peak was so ridiculously good, and he had enough good seasons both before and after that peak, that he also ranks extremely high in career value. The next table, for example, shows the top 25 players in career pWins over positional average since 1947 (MLB integration).

pWins over Positional Average
Top 25 Players
Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL
1Barry Bonds466.8310.6136.5
174.4
2Willie Mays465.3329.8116.5
156.6
3Mickey Mantle354.1227.5112.2
141.9
4Hank Aaron496.7369.198.5
142.5
5Roger Clemens316.9228.694.6
131.3
6Joe L. Morgan371.9293.984.9
117.6
7Alex Rodriguez373.8298.781.2
114.9
8Greg Maddux327.2271.777.9
115.0
9Warren Spahn342.7287.472.8
111.3
10Albert Pujols359.9267.371.8
104.3
11Mike Schmidt338.5257.671.0
99.7
12Frank Robinson398.0302.570.9
106.8
13Eddie Mathews320.7240.970.5
99.1
14Randy 'Big Unit' Johnson279.8221.069.8
102.9
15Chipper Jones336.2257.669.6
98.6
16Yogi Berra245.5182.065.7
88.0
17Tom Seaver306.9258.265.1
98.6
18Pedro J. Martinez192.4137.862.6
84.7
19Rickey Henderson428.4350.362.5
100.5
20Ted Williams242.8168.162.0
83.2
21Jim Palmer241.5186.161.9
88.7
22Mariano Rivera125.961.161.4
79.0
23Derek Jeter367.7323.161.2
94.8
24Manny Ramirez320.0247.660.2
88.9
25Duke Snider270.3198.759.8
84.2


And narrowing the focus to pitchers, the next table presents the top 10 players in (context-neutral, teammate-adjusted) starting pitcher wins over positional average among all players for whom I have calculated Player won-lost records.

Starting Pitcher
eWins eLosses eWinPct eWOPA
1Roger Clemens303.5235.90.56371.8
2Greg Maddux302.2239.90.55766.3
3Randy 'Big Unit' Johnson262.9214.60.55151.9
4Pedro J. Martinez175.8127.90.57950.4
5J. Kevin Brown195.2154.70.55843.1
6Lefty Grove203.0160.60.55842.6
7Gaylord Perry297.7259.00.53541.6
8Mike Mussina216.8178.80.54841.1
9Warren Spahn300.6263.10.53339.4
10Tom Seaver274.9239.00.53538.7


Easy Hall-of-Famer.

Article last updated: October 16, 2019



All articles are written so that they pull data directly from the most recent version of the Player won-lost database. Hence, any numbers cited within these articles should automatically incorporate the most recent update to Player won-lost records. In some cases, however, the accompanying text may have been written based on previous versions of Player won-lost records. I apologize if this results in non-sensical text in any cases.

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