Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Tim Raines

Hall-of-Famers as Seen Through Player Won-Lost Records: Tim Raines

Tim Raines was elected to the Hall of Fame in his 10th year of eligibility, 2017, with 86.0% of the vote.

Five highlights of Tim Raines's career: The first two tables below present Tim Raines's career as measured by Player won-lost records, in and out of context.

Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWORL pWOPA
1979MON19
6
0.20.00.20.2
1980MON20
15
0.41.0-0.5-0.6
1981MON21
88
13.711.03.01.8
1982MON22
156
20.619.51.90.0
1983MON23
156
26.019.77.04.9
1984MON24
160
24.120.34.92.8
1985MON25
150
22.218.74.12.2
1986MON26
151
21.118.73.01.1
1987MON27
139
21.816.26.34.5
1988MON28
109
15.113.22.31.0
1989MON29
145
18.916.72.81.1
1990MON30
130
17.215.52.10.6
1991CHA31
155
17.517.90.6-1.1
1992CHA32
144
20.215.75.63.9
1993CHA33
115
15.112.04.02.7
1994CHA34
100
13.310.93.22.0
1995CHA35
133
14.615.9-0.3-1.9
1996NYA36
59
6.85.81.40.7
1997NYA37
74
8.57.12.01.2
1998NYA38
109
9.07.12.61.7
1999OAK39
58
3.84.9-0.8-1.2
2000-40
-
----
41
51
3.43.20.50.1
2002FLO42
97
1.72.3-0.2-0.4
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,500
315.4273.356.127.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
34
3.74.1-0.2-0.6
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,534
319.1277.355.926.7


Expected Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games eWins eLosses eWORL eWOPA
1979MON19
6
0.20.00.20.2
1980MON20
15
0.60.8-0.1-0.2
1981MON21
88
13.810.93.42.2
1982MON22
156
20.219.81.2-0.7
1983MON23
156
25.819.96.54.4
1984MON24
160
24.719.66.14.0
1985MON25
150
23.017.95.83.8
1986MON26
151
21.818.04.42.5
1987MON27
139
21.616.55.63.8
1988MON28
109
15.213.12.51.1
1989MON29
145
19.216.43.31.6
1990MON30
130
17.315.42.40.9
1991CHA31
155
17.917.51.4-0.3
1992CHA32
144
20.015.95.23.5
1993CHA33
115
14.712.43.11.8
1994CHA34
100
12.311.91.2-0.0
1995CHA35
133
15.215.30.9-0.7
1996NYA36
59
6.66.01.00.4
1997NYA37
74
8.27.51.30.5
1998NYA38
109
8.47.71.30.4
1999OAK39
58
4.44.30.4-0.0
2000-40
-
----
41
51
3.63.10.70.4
2002FLO42
97
1.92.10.2-0.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,500
316.5272.258.229.4
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
34
3.64.2-0.4-0.8
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,534
320.0276.457.728.6


What are Tim Raines's Hall-of-Fame credentials? Easy. He was a brilliant baserunner - 808 career stolen bases (5th-most all-time) at an 84.7% success rate - and he was one of the best players in baseball in his prime, which roughly corresponded to the seasons between MLB's two major strikes in 1981 and 1994.

The first table, then, shows the top 10 players in baserunning wins over non-pitcher average among all players for whom I have calculated Player won-lost records.

Baserunning
eWins eLosses eWOPA
1Rickey Henderson55.738.517.0
2Tim Raines Sr.35.821.513.7
3Willie Wilson28.616.612.0
4Bert Campaneris37.325.011.7
5Davey Lopes24.815.09.3
6Paul Molitor31.322.09.3
7Joe L. Morgan36.727.08.7
8Luis Aparicio31.321.98.6
9Vince Coleman27.918.88.5
10Willie Davis25.417.47.3

Positional Average excludes pitcher offense



And the next table shows the top 25 players in eWins over positional average and replacement level from 1982 through 1993.

eWins over Positional Average
Top 25 Players
          eWins over Replacement Level
Top 25 Players
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL           Player eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1Rickey Henderson249.1189.852.4
73.5
1Rickey Henderson249.1189.852.473.5
2Cal Ripken264.6232.547.4
71.0
2Cal Ripken264.6232.547.471.0
3Roger Clemens142.998.546.1
62.1
3Roger Clemens142.998.546.162.1
4Barry Bonds175.4129.837.2
51.7
4Ryne Sandberg249.9215.335.557.5
5Lou Whitaker219.5191.035.6
55.2
5Lou Whitaker219.5191.035.655.2
6Ryne Sandberg249.9215.335.5
57.5
6Wade Boggs224.1189.833.253.0
7Alan Trammell199.7176.535.0
53.0
7Alan Trammell199.7176.535.053.0
8Wade Boggs224.1189.833.2
53.0
8Barry Bonds175.4129.837.251.7
9Mike Schmidt150.5114.831.0
43.6
9Ozzie Smith233.2214.528.449.7
10Darryl Strawberry191.0150.330.6
46.8
10Tim Raines Sr.241.3202.626.547.7
11Bret Saberhagen114.786.830.1
43.4
11Robin Yount231.2205.725.846.9
12Ozzie Smith233.2214.528.4
49.7
12Darryl Strawberry191.0150.330.646.8
13Dwight Gooden138.6121.627.7
43.1
13Dale Murphy223.1188.224.143.6
14Tim Raines Sr.241.3202.626.5
47.7
14Mike Schmidt150.5114.831.043.6
15Orel Hershiser126.3109.026.2
40.3
15Paul Molitor192.2163.824.843.5
16Robin Yount231.2205.725.8
46.9
16Bret Saberhagen114.786.830.143.4
17Jack Clark158.6123.925.1
39.4
17Dwight Gooden138.6121.627.743.1
18Paul Molitor192.2163.824.8
43.5
18Orel Hershiser126.3109.026.240.3
19Dale Murphy223.1188.224.1
43.6
19Jack Clark158.6123.925.139.4
20Will Clark142.9108.422.3
34.3
20Dwight Evans185.2157.121.438.5
21Eric Davis142.2114.422.1
34.4
21Eddie Murray220.6186.417.937.5
22Dwight Evans185.2157.121.4
38.5
22George Brett182.9157.719.537.2
23Greg Maddux110.697.921.2
33.8
23Frank Viola169.1158.115.937.0
24Fred McGriff120.391.420.6
30.9
24Dave Stieb135.7117.520.036.7
25Barry Larkin129.1113.220.6
32.1
25Andy Van Slyke181.4153.819.935.9


Put them together and you have a Hall-of-Famer. I'm glad the BBWAA agreed before he fell off the ballot.

Article last updated: October 1, 2019



All articles are written so that they pull data directly from the most recent version of the Player won-lost database. Hence, any numbers cited within these articles should automatically incorporate the most recent update to Player won-lost records. In some cases, however, the accompanying text may have been written based on previous versions of Player won-lost records. I apologize if this results in non-sensical text in any cases.

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